WD Plus Low Presure Rains !!

Widespread rains occurred in last two days in different parts of Punjab kashmir kpk kashmir and southeast Sindh...
Weather became so pleasant in Much of Punjab and kashmir today.Max temp remained between 22c to 30C at places.
Rain amounts  of todays are mentioned below :

Rainfall: Lahore (A/P 142, City 92), Bahawalnagar 109, Okara 100, Bahawalpur (A/P 87, City 64), Mangla, Shorkot 85, Sahiwal 83, Rawalakot 80, Sialkot (A/P 77, City 70), Jhelum 70, M.B.Din 65, Kotli 61, Murree 60, Faisalabad 58, Gujrat 53, T.T.Singh 48, Sargodha 47, Garhi Dupatta 43, Kasur 42, Gujranwala 37, Parachinar 33, Skardu 31, Astore 30, Chakwal 29, Kakul 25, Jhang, Muzaffarabad 23.

Islamabad

 

Islamabad

JPJ,Gujrat

Islamabad

Pasrur

Detailed weather covering summary of past days of july and focusing on coming weather in Pakistan !!
Summary of last 3 weeks:
Month of july started with monsoon rains across different parts of country and as a result monsoon start was declared as normal to above normal after seeing the progress and precipitation over country in last 3 weeks.

Many stations from central,northern and southern parts of country are above normal for month of july in rainfall.
Some cities are highlighted here:
Islamabad 484.4 mm
Bahawalnagar 126 mm
Lahore 294 mm
Multan 94 mm
Kakul 330 mm
Peshawar 155 mm
Meanwhile we see some areas are below normal too as rains were observed to be mostly scattered to isolated with huge variations in intensity.Gujrat-sialkot-jhelum belt did not get any worth mentioning rains till day and remaining days also seem with chances of moderate rainfalls.

#Upcoming Week:
As we see since last two days rains focusing lower parts of sindh as well as much of kpk with some parts of southwest punjab.
Widespread heavy to extremely heavy rains expected in most of cities of sindh and parts of kalat.zhod divisions.
Heavy rains can be seen in different parts of kpk and south punjab as well.

#Flood update:
Flood related warning are already in air through media as rains have started cause land sliding, flash flooding in northern areas including sawat, dir chitral causing death toll to rise upto 34 till day (as per media).

Glacier burst in north areas of kashmir has made situation more worst as it can cause many villages to wipe way totally as it will flow down to plains... and after reaching plains it can cause high level extreme flooding in river Jhelum and further as water will move down towards south punjab it will be joined by flood water of rains in south punjab and same scenerio may continue throughout the indus river till it falls to sea.

So flooding will be seen in many parts of south punjab,kpk, northeast baluchistan and central/southern sindh in next 4-8 days.


#Depression to hit sindh:
As the parts of sindh getting good rainfall since last 2-3 days we see the depression present currently over Indian states of Gujarat-Rajasthan to effect sindh from sunday night/monday.
Depression is in full peak intensity at this time and will become more widespread in next 24 hours.
Monday-thursday seem very special for sindh as destructive rains cannot b ruled out.

#Weather details for rains:

#Sindh:
Most of areas will get rains moderate to extremely heavy during sunday to thursday.
Heavy falls to start from southern/lower parts and to shift upward to central and finally uper sindh by tuesday/wednesday.
Areas of tharparkar, mithi, badin,thatta, mirpurkhas,hyderabad divisions can get 150-250 mm rainfall in next 2-3 days causing widespread flooding and risk for loss of life as well as property.

#Karachi will see moderate to some heavy rainfall at times during next 3 days.There is no high chances of cloud bursts for city as overall 50-150mm rainfall can be observed at karachi in next 2-3 days.

Central and upper areas including jaccobabad, sukkur, larkana divisions will see heavy rains during monday-thursday can accumulate to 100-200mm causing urban flooding.

#Baluchistan:
Rains scattered to widespread in kalat, zhob, lasbel, areas in next 3 days can cause flooding in local streams of kirthar ranges. Makran divisions and northern baluchistan can witness rainfall in next 3 days as well with moderate intensity falls.

#KPK:
Western plus eastern interaction causing widespread continuous rains in many upper and northern parts since last night...more widespread moderate to heavy rains expected in next 2 days which will boost up flooding situation specially in central and southern parts.
Urban flooding can cause power outages plus traffic issues in peshawar as well.

#Kashmir: scattered rains expected in next 3-5 days at times of varying intensity.

#Islamabad:
Moderat to isolated heavy falls expected at times throughout the coming week keeping weather on pleasant side. No chances of any flooding in Nullah-Lai if conditions remain normal as per current analysis.

#Punjab:
Regions including DG khan. leyyah, multan, rajan pur can get moderate to heavy rains in next 3-4 days causing risk of flash flooding in low lying and village areas.

scattered rains for sargodha,faislabad,mainwali, sahiwal, bahawalpur, rahim yar khan areas in next 2-3 days.No major chances of flooding in region.

We see rains decreasing for upper and northeastern punjab from monday but chances for isolated to scattered moderate falls will remain alive in next week.rains can gain intensity in later days of week.

Widespread rain-thundershower occurred at Punjab, Islamabad and Kashmir, scattered rain-thundershower occurred at Malakand, Peshawar, Kohat, Mardan, D.I. Khan divisions and FATA while at isolated places of Quetta divisions. Weather remained hot and humid in other parts of the country.
More widespread rain thundershower is expected in Hazara, Rawalpindi, Lahore, Gujranwala, D.G.Khan divisions, Islamabad, and Kashmir. Scattered rain thundershower in KP (Peshawar, Kohat, Mardan, D.I.Khan), Punjab(Sargodha, Faisalabad, Sahiwal, Bahawalpur, Multan divisions), while isolated in Malakand, Zhob, Sibbi, Quetta, Sukkar, Larkana, Hyderabad divisions. Isolated heavy falls is also expected in Rawalpindi/Islamabad, Lahore, Gujranwala and D.G.Khan divisions.

Rainfall:
Islamabad (Golra= 156, Bokra=117, Saidpur=97,Z.P=71) Lahore PBO=63, Okara=62, Multan=59, Toba Tek Singh=48, Faisalabad=45, D.G khan=42, Risalpur=40, Bahawalnagar, Malamjaba=38, Murree=35, Bahawalpur City=34, Joharabad=33, Rawalakot=32, Kot Addu=29, Sahiwal, Layyah=24, Chakwal, Muzaffarabad, Kakul=23, D.I Khan=21, Shorkot, Bahawalpur (A/P), Balakot =15, Rawalpindi (Chaklala=14, Shamsabad=12), Garhi Dupatta =12, Noorpurthal=11, Sargodha, Parachinar, Saidu Sharif, Barkhan=10, Kasur=09, Lahore A/P=08, Jhang = 06, Kotli=04, R.Y Khan=03, Jhelum, Khanpur, Dir=02۔ 

Pics from Islamabad

 

Much Needed Monsoon is here finally !!!

Since last 3-4 days scorching heat is making life boring and tiring in much of Pakistan specially in upper parts as the region is facing very high heat index and high levels of humidity.

But Good thing is that this severe weather will end by monday as monsoon is progressing towards Pakistan.
Monsoon axis is running from Bangladesh to Kashmir along himalyas as a result widespread rains expected along this belt and adjoining plains.
A WD will also interact with this monsoon axis resulting in some heavy to very heavy rains in parts of pakistan and north indian states.

According to typical monsoon standards and pattern,Thundercloud development has started today over jammu kashmir.Which will b boosted by monday afternoon/evening.

Areas like Sialkot,gujrat,bhimber, narowal etc can see fast winds or gale tonight with slight chances of light rain in pockets.

Monday is expected to b windy in many parts of Upper pakistan as monsoon will b penetrating to Upper parts.
First proper development from kashmir side expected on monday afternoon onwards which can give rains to sialkot,gujrat,jhelum,narrowal,pasrur,gujranwala and parts of lahore by monday evening/night.
By monday night/tuesday early monsoon will grip much of upper pakistan so on tuesday scattered rains will occur over upper punjab,upper kpk,Islamabad,kashmir and adjoining areas.

Rains will descend to Central Punjab by tuesday late.And One active rainfall expected over Multan, DG khan areas by tuesday night or wednesday/thursday.

Monsoon entering to eastern sindh is also in sight after coming wednesday (will b updated timely)
Parts of northeast Balochistan will witness some showers/TS too during mid or later week.


Warning:
Local streams of kashmir,narrowal,  sialkot can see local flooding due to some heavy rains during tuesday-Friday.Urban flooding cannot b ruled out for parts of gujranwala and lahore divisions if rain intensity falling increases in short span of time.

Weekly summary of rains is mentioned here:
Monday:
Isolated to scattered light to moderate rains for northeast punjab and kashmir.
 
Tuesday:
Scattered rains expected in Upper punjab,upper kpk,islamabad and kashmir with possible some heavy falls in pockets of kashmir and northeast punjab.Rains approaching central and western Punjab.
 
Wednesday:
Rain with some decrease in intensity  to continue in Upper Punjab,upper/central kpk.islamabad and kashmir.A active rainfall expected in Faisalabad,sargodha divisions too.

Thursday:
Rains continue in above mentioned areas and picking intensity again.Rain/TS over Multan and northeast Balochistan also ....

Friday:
Rain restricting to kashmir and Upper parts of country.
From these upcoming rains temp drop expected over much of upper half of country.

Weather outlook next 3-4 days.... !!!
Weak premonsoon currents will start reaching Jammu kashmir from mondayand a weak WD also will start effecting the country from tonight...
As a result from monday afternoon we will see daily developments over jammu kashmir due to interaction of easterlies plus westerlies.... and development over upper kpk due to WD...
Pockets of kashmir,gujrat,jhelum,sialkot can get rain by monday night or tuesday early....
Isolated rain for Twins,peshawat,kohat,chakwal,gujranwala,lahore also in sight on tuesday mainly in afternoon/night hours...
So Isolated to scattered weak to moderate intensity Thunderstorms will keep effecting upper punjab,upper kpk,kashmir,islamabad during monday night-friday....

Regarding temp its expected to b humid and hot across country but temp in islamabad will hardly b able to touch 40c in next 2 days.... Lahore can shoot upto 42c on monday/tuesday.
Gujrat with northeast cities will hardly cross 40/41c today and tomorrow...

No sufficient drop in temp but relief expected over upper pak fro tuesday due to mentioned rains...

There is no chance of any heavy rains for twins,upper punjab this week....

Monsoon onset for northeast Belt of Pakistan including Islamabad seems around 6/7 July ...

Sindh/south Punjab,Balochistan will keep facing dry weather atleast next some days..
Temp in karachi expected to b above 40C today and tomorrow... but from tuesday/wednesday things will start coming toward normal track so no major heat wave for city as rumors are being created all around....
Monsoon onset for any part of sindh does not in sight till 10th of july.

Pre-Monsoon Over north and Heat in south !!!

Karachi – 20th June, 2015: 45°C 
Yesterday was a record hot day in Karachi history by following stats:

1) It was the hottest days of last 15 years; 45.5 was recorded on 7th June, 2000.

2) It was the first ‘45°C’ also in Karachi since June, 2000.

3) It was first time ‘in June’ since 2000 that Karachi temperature reached 45 and first time since 23rd June, 2007 that it touched & crossed ‘44° in June’

4) It was first time since 21st May, 2011 i.e. in 4 years that Karachi temperature crossed 44°C.

5) It was the hottest day of any Ramzan in my life that at least for last 26 years, last time the hottest days of Ramzan I experienced was in late September of 2006 when about a week long heat wave in Karachi with max temperature around 38 to 42.

So in Top 3 hottest days in my life:
1 – 7th June, 2000 (45.5)
2 – 20th June, 2015 (45)
3 – 23rd May, 1989 (45)

(By vagaries Waseem Ahmad)

Widespread Premonsoon rain-thundershower occurred in upper Punjab, Hazara division and Kashmir while at isolated places in Malakand, Peshawar, Bannu, Kohat, D.I Khan, D.G. Khan, Hyderabad, Zhob divisions, Islamabad and Gilgit-Baltistan. Weather remained very hot and humid in other parts of the country.

Pics from JPJ(Gujrat) which got 57.6 mm as per personal rain gauge !!!

Rain-thundershower associated with gusty winds is expected at scattered places of Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Hazara divisions and Kashmir, while at isolated places in Malakand, Peshawar, Kohat, Bannu, Mardan, Sargodha, Sahiwal, Lahore, Faisalabad, Zhob, Mirpurkhas divisions, Islamabad, FATA and Gilgit-Baltistan in next Hot and humid weather is likely in other parts of the country.

Chief Amount of Rainfall During Last 24 hrs in mm:

Murree=47, Gujranwala=36, Faisalabad=25, Sialkot A/P=24, Bhakkar=20, Balakot=18, Gujrat=17, Mandibahauddin=14, Sialkot Cantt=14, Joharabad=13, Sargodha =11, Chakwal=10, Kotli=10, Malamjaba=10, Cherat=8, D.G.Khan=7, Okara=6, Saidu Sharif=6, D.I.Khan=5, Zhob=5, Rawalakot=4, Garhi Dupatta=4, Jhelum=3, Dir=2, Muzaffarabad=2, Chhor=2, Noorpur Thal=1, Lahore PBO=1, Bannu=1, Kakul=1, Lahore A/P=1, Sahiwal=1, Chilas=1

 

Very hot and humid weather has gripped much of country from khyber to kashmir since yesterday.
Islamabad for the first time touched 40'c yesterday and crossed 40'c today for this summer...
Remaining parts of upper/central pakistan also faced very tough day and same conditions will continue tomorrow untill relief from sunday.
Today weak cumulus  were observed over kashmir ....Chances of premonsoon devlopment over jammu kashmir saturday evening/night and WD over upper kpk by saturday evening...
Weather will make a twist from saturday night as rain chances will increase for northeats punjab twins,upper kpk and kashmir as the sunday approaches...
Light to moderate rain for Jhelum,sialkot,gujrat,kashmir,twins,peshawar etc on sunday ...
Sunday will b quite pleasant with clouds and winds over upper punjab,kpk,islamabad and kashmir....
Scattered thunderstorms and showery rains for many parts of upper/central punjab, kashmir,twins,kpk GB and north Balochistan by monday onwards till thursday...
Rain with TS can be seen in parts of south punjab and northeast baluchistan on monday/tuesday/wednesday.
Mirpur khas divisions in sindh will continue to receive light to moderate premonsoon rains in next 2-3 days....
Dry for other parts of country.

Todays max of some cities :
Bhakkar 48c
Larkana,jaccobabad 47c
Rahim yar khan, lasbella, okara 46c
Lahore, multan, faisalabad 44c
Karachi,Islamabad 41c
Peshawar 42c
Gilgit 39c
Murree 28c