Detailed weather covering summary of past days of july and focusing on coming weather in Pakistan !!
Summary of last 3 weeks:
Month of july started with monsoon rains across different parts of country and as a result monsoon start was declared as normal to above normal after seeing the progress and precipitation over country in last 3 weeks.

Many stations from central,northern and southern parts of country are above normal for month of july in rainfall.
Some cities are highlighted here:
Islamabad 484.4 mm
Bahawalnagar 126 mm
Lahore 294 mm
Multan 94 mm
Kakul 330 mm
Peshawar 155 mm
Meanwhile we see some areas are below normal too as rains were observed to be mostly scattered to isolated with huge variations in intensity.Gujrat-sialkot-jhelum belt did not get any worth mentioning rains till day and remaining days also seem with chances of moderate rainfalls.

#Upcoming Week:
As we see since last two days rains focusing lower parts of sindh as well as much of kpk with some parts of southwest punjab.
Widespread heavy to extremely heavy rains expected in most of cities of sindh and parts of kalat.zhod divisions.
Heavy rains can be seen in different parts of kpk and south punjab as well.

#Flood update:
Flood related warning are already in air through media as rains have started cause land sliding, flash flooding in northern areas including sawat, dir chitral causing death toll to rise upto 34 till day (as per media).

Glacier burst in north areas of kashmir has made situation more worst as it can cause many villages to wipe way totally as it will flow down to plains... and after reaching plains it can cause high level extreme flooding in river Jhelum and further as water will move down towards south punjab it will be joined by flood water of rains in south punjab and same scenerio may continue throughout the indus river till it falls to sea.

So flooding will be seen in many parts of south punjab,kpk, northeast baluchistan and central/southern sindh in next 4-8 days.


#Depression to hit sindh:
As the parts of sindh getting good rainfall since last 2-3 days we see the depression present currently over Indian states of Gujarat-Rajasthan to effect sindh from sunday night/monday.
Depression is in full peak intensity at this time and will become more widespread in next 24 hours.
Monday-thursday seem very special for sindh as destructive rains cannot b ruled out.

#Weather details for rains:

#Sindh:
Most of areas will get rains moderate to extremely heavy during sunday to thursday.
Heavy falls to start from southern/lower parts and to shift upward to central and finally uper sindh by tuesday/wednesday.
Areas of tharparkar, mithi, badin,thatta, mirpurkhas,hyderabad divisions can get 150-250 mm rainfall in next 2-3 days causing widespread flooding and risk for loss of life as well as property.

#Karachi will see moderate to some heavy rainfall at times during next 3 days.There is no high chances of cloud bursts for city as overall 50-150mm rainfall can be observed at karachi in next 2-3 days.

Central and upper areas including jaccobabad, sukkur, larkana divisions will see heavy rains during monday-thursday can accumulate to 100-200mm causing urban flooding.

#Baluchistan:
Rains scattered to widespread in kalat, zhob, lasbel, areas in next 3 days can cause flooding in local streams of kirthar ranges. Makran divisions and northern baluchistan can witness rainfall in next 3 days as well with moderate intensity falls.

#KPK:
Western plus eastern interaction causing widespread continuous rains in many upper and northern parts since last night...more widespread moderate to heavy rains expected in next 2 days which will boost up flooding situation specially in central and southern parts.
Urban flooding can cause power outages plus traffic issues in peshawar as well.

#Kashmir: scattered rains expected in next 3-5 days at times of varying intensity.

#Islamabad:
Moderat to isolated heavy falls expected at times throughout the coming week keeping weather on pleasant side. No chances of any flooding in Nullah-Lai if conditions remain normal as per current analysis.

#Punjab:
Regions including DG khan. leyyah, multan, rajan pur can get moderate to heavy rains in next 3-4 days causing risk of flash flooding in low lying and village areas.

scattered rains for sargodha,faislabad,mainwali, sahiwal, bahawalpur, rahim yar khan areas in next 2-3 days.No major chances of flooding in region.

We see rains decreasing for upper and northeastern punjab from monday but chances for isolated to scattered moderate falls will remain alive in next week.rains can gain intensity in later days of week.

Widespread rain-thundershower occurred at Punjab, Islamabad and Kashmir, scattered rain-thundershower occurred at Malakand, Peshawar, Kohat, Mardan, D.I. Khan divisions and FATA while at isolated places of Quetta divisions. Weather remained hot and humid in other parts of the country.
More widespread rain thundershower is expected in Hazara, Rawalpindi, Lahore, Gujranwala, D.G.Khan divisions, Islamabad, and Kashmir. Scattered rain thundershower in KP (Peshawar, Kohat, Mardan, D.I.Khan), Punjab(Sargodha, Faisalabad, Sahiwal, Bahawalpur, Multan divisions), while isolated in Malakand, Zhob, Sibbi, Quetta, Sukkar, Larkana, Hyderabad divisions. Isolated heavy falls is also expected in Rawalpindi/Islamabad, Lahore, Gujranwala and D.G.Khan divisions.

Rainfall:
Islamabad (Golra= 156, Bokra=117, Saidpur=97,Z.P=71) Lahore PBO=63, Okara=62, Multan=59, Toba Tek Singh=48, Faisalabad=45, D.G khan=42, Risalpur=40, Bahawalnagar, Malamjaba=38, Murree=35, Bahawalpur City=34, Joharabad=33, Rawalakot=32, Kot Addu=29, Sahiwal, Layyah=24, Chakwal, Muzaffarabad, Kakul=23, D.I Khan=21, Shorkot, Bahawalpur (A/P), Balakot =15, Rawalpindi (Chaklala=14, Shamsabad=12), Garhi Dupatta =12, Noorpurthal=11, Sargodha, Parachinar, Saidu Sharif, Barkhan=10, Kasur=09, Lahore A/P=08, Jhang = 06, Kotli=04, R.Y Khan=03, Jhelum, Khanpur, Dir=02۔ 

Pics from Islamabad

 

Much Needed Monsoon is here finally !!!

Since last 3-4 days scorching heat is making life boring and tiring in much of Pakistan specially in upper parts as the region is facing very high heat index and high levels of humidity.

But Good thing is that this severe weather will end by monday as monsoon is progressing towards Pakistan.
Monsoon axis is running from Bangladesh to Kashmir along himalyas as a result widespread rains expected along this belt and adjoining plains.
A WD will also interact with this monsoon axis resulting in some heavy to very heavy rains in parts of pakistan and north indian states.

According to typical monsoon standards and pattern,Thundercloud development has started today over jammu kashmir.Which will b boosted by monday afternoon/evening.

Areas like Sialkot,gujrat,bhimber, narowal etc can see fast winds or gale tonight with slight chances of light rain in pockets.

Monday is expected to b windy in many parts of Upper pakistan as monsoon will b penetrating to Upper parts.
First proper development from kashmir side expected on monday afternoon onwards which can give rains to sialkot,gujrat,jhelum,narrowal,pasrur,gujranwala and parts of lahore by monday evening/night.
By monday night/tuesday early monsoon will grip much of upper pakistan so on tuesday scattered rains will occur over upper punjab,upper kpk,Islamabad,kashmir and adjoining areas.

Rains will descend to Central Punjab by tuesday late.And One active rainfall expected over Multan, DG khan areas by tuesday night or wednesday/thursday.

Monsoon entering to eastern sindh is also in sight after coming wednesday (will b updated timely)
Parts of northeast Balochistan will witness some showers/TS too during mid or later week.


Warning:
Local streams of kashmir,narrowal,  sialkot can see local flooding due to some heavy rains during tuesday-Friday.Urban flooding cannot b ruled out for parts of gujranwala and lahore divisions if rain intensity falling increases in short span of time.

Weekly summary of rains is mentioned here:
Monday:
Isolated to scattered light to moderate rains for northeast punjab and kashmir.
 
Tuesday:
Scattered rains expected in Upper punjab,upper kpk,islamabad and kashmir with possible some heavy falls in pockets of kashmir and northeast punjab.Rains approaching central and western Punjab.
 
Wednesday:
Rain with some decrease in intensity  to continue in Upper Punjab,upper/central kpk.islamabad and kashmir.A active rainfall expected in Faisalabad,sargodha divisions too.

Thursday:
Rains continue in above mentioned areas and picking intensity again.Rain/TS over Multan and northeast Balochistan also ....

Friday:
Rain restricting to kashmir and Upper parts of country.
From these upcoming rains temp drop expected over much of upper half of country.